Alabama
SEC · 3–0 · 30.7 receipt · 17% playoff · AP #10 (Δ +6)
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frozen 2026-09-21 · weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21 · v1.2
Total
30.7
Base
25.3
Chaos
5.4
Receipt history
One published week so far. Sunday 10pm MT is the appointment — diffs start at Week 1.
Field Impact
0.0
Published beside the Score, not inside it. Expected playoff-odds damage this team can deal to Field and Bubble opponents.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
No remaining cached games for this team. Midweek results update scores only; swings wait for the Sunday freeze.
Helmet Head
Additive line
playoff 6.5 + résumé 12.0 + trajectory 6.9 = base 25.3
buzz ∅ + story 0.0 + vol 3.3 + bracket 5.2 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos raw 8.5
Chaos 8.5 × early-season scale 0.63 = 5.4
Fan Bump 0 — disclosed only, not inside the 100
base + chaos = 30.7
Ledger
Week 0 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.23
Week 1 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.20
Week 2 · AP_DIVERGENCE_OUT
AP #12; Score has them bubble
Week 3 · AP_DIVERGENCE_OUT
AP #10; Score has them bubble
Storyline log
No auto or editorial triggers on this card.