The Ledger
Every place the Score disagreed with consensus, written at freeze, never edited. Entries before the first live Ledger freeze were generated from the archived weekly snapshots, which are unchanged since their original freeze.
55 calls on record
Hit rate not yet — nothing has resolved. Pending 55. A Ledger that only lists wins is a marketing page; one that scores itself is a record.
AP_DIVERGENCE_OUT has fired 4 times.
AP_DIVERGENCE_OUT · Week 3
Alabama
AP #10; Score has them bubble
seed — · AP #10 · Δ 6 · chaos 5.4 · p=0.17
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 3
Florida
Named a spoiler; can wreck Ole Miss in Week 4
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 2 · chaos 7.1 · p=0.09
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 3
Iowa
Named a spoiler; can wreck Michigan in Week 4
seed — · AP #18 · Δ 19 · chaos 3.6 · p=0.09
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE · Week 3
James Madison
In the Field at seed 12; AP unranked
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -14 · chaos 12.1 · p=0.22
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
CHAOS_LEADER · Week 3
James Madison
Most chaotic team in the sport: Chaos 12.1/40
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -14 · chaos 12.1 · p=0.22
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
G5_IN_FIELD · Week 3
James Madison
Holding the Group of Five autobid at seed 12
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -14 · chaos 12.1 · p=0.22
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 3
Kentucky
Named a spoiler; can wreck LSU in Week 6
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 21 · chaos 3.5 · p=0.06
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 3
Michigan St
Named a spoiler; can wreck Nebraska in Week 4
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 19 · chaos 3.3 · p=0.06
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 3
North Carolina
Named a spoiler; can wreck Notre Dame in Week 5
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 16 · chaos 5.0 · p=0.09
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE · Week 3
Oregon
In the Field at seed 4; AP #21
seed 4 · AP #21 · Δ -8 · chaos 8.6 · p=0.41
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE_OUT · Week 3
Texas A&M
AP #9; Score has them bubble
seed — · AP #9 · Δ 15 · chaos 6.7 · p=0.20
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE_OUT · Week 3
USC
AP #12; Score has them bubble
seed — · AP #12 · Δ -1 · chaos 8.9 · p=0.19
Week 3 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE_OUT · Week 2
Alabama
AP #12; Score has them bubble
seed — · AP #12 · Δ 3 · chaos 4.4 · p=0.19
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 2
Auburn
Named a spoiler; can wreck LSU in Week 15
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 14 · chaos 2.6 · p=0.07
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 2
Colorado
Named a spoiler; can wreck Texas Tech in Week 5
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 11 · chaos 5.4 · p=0.09
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 2
Florida
Named a spoiler; can wreck Ole Miss in Week 4
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 18 · chaos 1.1 · p=0.07
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 2
Illinois
Named a spoiler; can wreck Ohio St in Week 4
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 34 · chaos 0.0 · p=0.06
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE · Week 2
James Madison
In the Field at seed 12; AP unranked
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -9 · chaos 10.4 · p=0.13
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
CHAOS_LEADER · Week 2
James Madison
Most chaotic team in the sport: Chaos 10.4/40
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -9 · chaos 10.4 · p=0.13
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
G5_IN_FIELD · Week 2
James Madison
Holding the Group of Five autobid at seed 12
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -9 · chaos 10.4 · p=0.13
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
PRETENDER_FLAG · Week 2
Louisville
Pretender Risk: FCS-only résumé
seed — · AP #24 · Δ 25 · chaos 1.7 · p=0.10
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 2
Michigan
First Four Out at p=0.20
seed — · AP unranked · Δ -10 · chaos 5.3 · p=0.20
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 2
Penn St
First Four Out at p=0.20
seed — · AP #16 · Δ -5 · chaos 7.2 · p=0.20
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 2
Syracuse
Named a spoiler; can wreck Pittsburgh in Week 3
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 74 · chaos 0.0 · p=0.05
Week 2 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 2
Texas A&M
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 2
Texas Tech
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 1 · backfilled
Alabama
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 1 · backfilled
Auburn
Named a spoiler; can wreck Tennessee in Week 5
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 24 · chaos 0.2 · p=0.07
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 1 · backfilled
Baylor
Named a spoiler; can wreck Iowa St in Week 10
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 40 · chaos 1.9 · p=0.06
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 1 · backfilled
BYU
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 1 · backfilled
Cincinnati
Named a spoiler; can wreck Texas Tech in Week 8
seed — · AP unranked · Δ -4 · chaos 5.1 · p=0.08
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 1 · backfilled
Florida
Named a spoiler; can wreck Ole Miss in Week 4
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 8 · chaos 1.7 · p=0.07
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
PRETENDER_FLAG · Week 1 · backfilled
Georgia
Pretender Risk: FCS-only résumé
seed 4 · AP #3 · Δ 6 · chaos 4.9 · p=0.37
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE · Week 1 · backfilled
Houston
In the Field at seed 12; AP #23
seed 12 · AP #23 · Δ -3 · chaos 5.9 · p=0.13
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE · Week 1 · backfilled
Memphis
In the Field at seed 11; AP unranked
seed 11 · AP unranked · Δ -21 · chaos 12.3 · p=0.14
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
CHAOS_LEADER · Week 1 · backfilled
Memphis
Most chaotic team in the sport: Chaos 12.3/40
seed 11 · AP unranked · Δ -21 · chaos 12.3 · p=0.14
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
G5_IN_FIELD · Week 1 · backfilled
Memphis
Holding the Group of Five autobid at seed 11
seed 11 · AP unranked · Δ -21 · chaos 12.3 · p=0.14
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 1 · backfilled
Missouri
Named a spoiler; can wreck Ole Miss in Week 15
seed — · AP #25 · Δ 21 · chaos 2.0 · p=0.08
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 1 · backfilled
Texas A&M
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 1 · backfilled
Texas Tech
PRETENDER_FLAG · Week 1 · backfilled
Utah
Pretender Risk: FCS-only résumé
seed — · AP #21 · Δ 30 · chaos 0.4 · p=0.11
Week 1 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 0 · backfilled
Alabama
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 0 · backfilled
Louisville
Named a spoiler; can wreck Ole Miss in Week 1
seed — · AP #24 · Δ 0 · chaos 4.2 · p=0.09
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 0 · backfilled
LSU
First Four Out at p=0.26
seed — · AP #11 · Δ -1 · chaos 5.6 · p=0.26
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
AP_DIVERGENCE · Week 0 · backfilled
Memphis
In the Field at seed 12; AP unranked
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -5 · chaos 5.0 · p=0.08
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
G5_IN_FIELD · Week 0 · backfilled
Memphis
Holding the Group of Five autobid at seed 12
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -5 · chaos 5.0 · p=0.08
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
PRETENDER_FLAG · Week 0 · backfilled
Memphis
Pretender Risk: FCS-only résumé
seed 12 · AP unranked · Δ -5 · chaos 5.0 · p=0.08
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 0 · backfilled
Michigan
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 0 · backfilled
Minnesota
Named a spoiler; can wreck Ohio St in Week 15
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 13 · chaos 2.6 · p=0.07
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
CHAOS_LEADER · Week 0 · backfilled
North Carolina
Most chaotic team in the sport: Chaos 7.2/40
seed — · AP unranked · Δ -12 · chaos 7.2 · p=0.10
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 0 · backfilled
Oklahoma St
Named a spoiler; can wreck Texas Tech in Week 15
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 21 · chaos 2.5 · p=0.07
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 0 · backfilled
Syracuse
Named a spoiler; can wreck Miami in Week 15
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 41 · chaos 1.5 · p=0.07
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
FIRST_FOUR_OUT · Week 0 · backfilled
Texas Tech
PRETENDER_FLAG · Week 0 · backfilled
USC
Pretender Risk: FCS-only résumé
seed — · AP #14 · Δ 3 · chaos 3.0 · p=0.19
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending
SPOILER_NAMED · Week 0 · backfilled
Wisconsin
Named a spoiler; can wreck Notre Dame in Week 1
seed — · AP unranked · Δ 35 · chaos 1.3 · p=0.07
Week 0 receipt · resolved pending