Oregon
Big Ten · 2–1 · 33.2 receipt · 41% playoff · AP #21 (Δ -8)
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frozen 2026-09-21 · weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21 · v1.2
Total
33.2
Base
24.6
Chaos
8.6
Receipt history
One published week so far. Sunday 10pm MT is the appointment — diffs start at Week 1.
Field Impact
0.0
Published beside the Score, not inside it. Expected playoff-odds damage this team can deal to Field and Bubble opponents.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
Helmet Head
Oregon holds a 33.2 early-season receipt (2–1).
Additive line
playoff 15.4 + résumé 4.8 + trajectory 4.3 = base 24.6
buzz ∅ + story 0.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 6.5 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos raw 13.5
Chaos 13.5 × early-season scale 0.63 = 8.6
Fan Bump 0 — disclosed only, not inside the 100
base + chaos = 33.2
Ledger
Week 3 · AP_DIVERGENCE
In the Field at seed 4; AP #21
Storyline log
No auto or editorial triggers on this card.