Wake Forest
ACC · 6–1 · 37.6 · 27% playoff chance · AP #14 · 1 spot lower than our board
Field is the top 12 by Score after the autobid rule — four P4 conference leaders plus the highest-Score Group of Six team are in regardless; the 12 are seeded by Score and byes go to seeds 1–4 (2026 CFP). Playoff probability is the Path stat, not the order. This team's Path is higher than 1 Field team.
How this score is built
The Score is playoff strength (up to 60) plus chaos (up to 40). Playoff strength is how much of the bracket they already hold — chance, quality of wins, recent form. Chaos is how much they're scrambling everyone else. It is not a chaos-only number.
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frozen 2026-10-25 · weekly-2026-w8-frozen-2026-10-25 · v1.2
Playoff points 9 of 35 + quality wins 8.2 + trajectory 5.7 = playoff strength 23 of 60
buzz ∅ + story 6.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 6.0 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos 14.2 of 40
playoff strength + chaos = 37.6
Total
37.6
Base
23.4
Chaos
14.2
Receipt history
8 published weeks, from the frozen archive. The delta beside each week is the one on that receipt.
Spoiler power
0.0
Spoiler power 0/100 — how much damage this team can deal to everyone else's playoff hopes. Published beside the Score, not inside it.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
No remaining cached games for this team. Midweek results update scores only; swings wait for the Sunday freeze.
Helmet Head
Ledger
Week 7 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.13
Storyline log
No auto or editorial triggers on this card.