8.0% playoff odds
Can wreck: Oklahoma
Week 13 · 46% to win · −2.0 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
Frozen Week 1 receipt (weekly-2026-w1-frozen-2026-09-08). Served from the published board-full JSON — this page does not re-score.
Ranked by jansanityIndex — how much the game moves the sport, including bystanders. Top 5 on the board.
SMU at Florida State
Week 1 · 2026-09-07
Rice at Notre Dame
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
Mississippi State at Minnesota
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
Louisiana Tech at LSU
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
Missouri at Kansas
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
Oklahoma at Michigan
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
Arizona at BYU
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
Penn State at Temple
Week 2 · lookahead · 2026-09-12
The final that moved the Field the most. Not a vibe award. Not a line on a team receipt.
Board Wrecker lights up after the next freeze that sees a final.
Score Δ vs last Sunday's frozen board. Field tape is who entered, left, or swapped a bye.
Movement starts after the Week 2 freeze. Week 1 is the first real Sunday board — there is no prior weekend to diff.
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Jansanity Meter · provisional
Movement undefined until a freeze that has a real prior
Field spread 25.8 pts — first to last on the receipt. It is not the Meter.
| # | Team | Rec | Total | Base | Chaos | Ply | Rsm | Traj | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State Big Ten | 1–0 | 31.7 | 25.1 | 6.6 | 17.0 | 2.6 | 5.4 | Building |
| 2 | Oregon Big Ten | 1–0 | 31.7 | 24.6 | 7.1 | 16.2 | 3.0 | 5.4 | Building |
| 3 | Miami (FL) ACC | 1–0 | 30.5 | 23.9 | 6.6 | 14.5 | 3.1 | 6.4 | Building |
| 4 | Notre Dame Independent | 1–0 | 30.0 | 23.3 | 6.7 | 13.5 | 3.6 | 6.1 | Building |
| 5 | Memphis American | 2–0 | 29.2 | 16.9 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 6.4 | Building |
| 6 | LSU SEC | 1–0 | 26.5 | 19.7 | 6.8 | 10.5 | 3.1 | 6.1 | Building |
| 7 | Ole Miss SEC | 1–0 | 26.0 | 19.2 | 6.8 | 10.5 | 3.1 | 5.6 | Building |
| 8 | Oklahoma SEC | 1–0 | 25.6 | 18.8 | 6.8 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 5.6 | Building |
| 9 | Georgia SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 25.4 | 20.5 | 4.9 | 14.1 | 1.2 | 5.2 | Building |
| 10 | Texas SEC | 1–0 | 25.1 | 19.9 | 5.2 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 5.7 | Building |
| 11 | Indiana Big Ten | 1–0 | 24.6 | 19.3 | 5.3 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 5.7 | Building |
| 12 | USC Big Ten | 2–0 | 22.5 | 16.4 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 5.8 | Building |
| 13 | Texas A&M SEC | 1–0 | 21.8 | 17.7 | 4.1 | 9.7 | 2.4 | 5.5 | Building |
| 14 | Penn State Big Ten | 1–0 | 20.9 | 14.7 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 5.7 | Building |
| 15 | BYU Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 20.4 | 14.5 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 5.4 | Building |
| 16 | Alabama SEC | 1–0 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 3.6 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 5.8 | Building |
| 17 | North Carolina ACC | 1–0 | 19.6 | 12.4 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 6.0 | Building |
| 18 | Texas Tech Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 19.1 | 14.9 | 4.2 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 5.3 | Building |
| 19 | Michigan Big Ten | 1–0 | 19.1 | 14.1 | 5.0 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 5.1 | Building |
| 20 | Houston Big 12 | 1–0 | 19.0 | 13.1 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 5.8 | Building |
| 21 | Washington Big Ten | 1–0 | 17.3 | 14.2 | 3.1 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 5.7 | Building |
| 22 | Cincinnati Big 12 | 1–0 | 17.1 | 12.0 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 6.3 | Building |
| 23 | Mississippi State SEC | 1–0 | 16.9 | 11.8 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 5.8 | Building |
| 24 | Nebraska Big Ten | 1–0 | 16.6 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 5.6 | Building |
| 25 | North Dakota State Mountain West | 2–0 | 16.4 | 12.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 6.4 | Building |
| 26 | Colorado Big 12 | 1–0 | 16.4 | 11.0 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 5.4 | Building |
| 27 | James Madison Sun Belt | 1–0 | 16.0 | 10.9 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 5.8 | Building |
| 28 | Pittsburgh ACC | 1–0 | 15.5 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 5.9 | Building |
| 29 | SMU ACC | 0–0 | 15.3 | 11.8 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 5.0 | Building |
| 30 | Iowa Big Ten | 1–0 | 14.7 | 12.1 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 5.8 | Building |
| 31 | Michigan State Big Ten | 1–0 | 14.5 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 5.5 | Building |
| 32 | Iowa State Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 13.2 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 5.4 | Building |
| 33 | Kansas Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 13.1 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 5.5 | Building |
| 34 | Florida SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 12.9 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 5.9 | Building |
| 35 | Florida State ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 12.9 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 5.7 | Building |
| 36 | Northwestern Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 12.5 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 5.3 | Building |
| 37 | Louisville ACC | 0–1 | 12.4 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 4.4 | Building |
| 38 | Minnesota Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 12.3 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5.4 | Building |
| 39 | UCLA Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 12.2 | 11.8 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 6.4 | Building |
| 40 | Navy American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 12.1 | 9.2 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 5.6 | Building |
| 41 | Duke ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 12.1 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 5.9 | Building |
| 42 | Virginia ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.6 | 11.5 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 6.4 | Building |
| 43 | Tennessee SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 5.4 | Building |
| 44 | Kansas State Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.5 | 9.3 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 5.5 | Building |
| 45 | Kentucky SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5.3 | Building |
| 46 | Missouri SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 5.4 | Building |
| 47 | South Carolina SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 5.7 | Building |
| 48 | Rice American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.1 | 8.9 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 5.7 | Building |
| 49 | Tulsa American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 6.6 | Building |
| 50 | Auburn SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 11.0 | 10.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 5.4 | Building |
| 51 | Utah Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.9 | 10.5 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 5.5 | Building |
| 52 | Illinois Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 5.8 | Building |
| 53 | Georgia State Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.8 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 6.0 | Building |
| 54 | Louisiana Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.8 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 5.9 | Building |
| 55 | Louisiana Tech Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6.1 | Building |
| 56 | Georgia Tech ACC | 0–1 | 10.4 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 4.5 | Building |
| 57 | NC State ACC | 0–1 | 10.1 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 3.3 | Building |
| 58 | Buffalo MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 5.5 | Building |
| 59 | Colorado State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 6.1 | Building |
| 60 | Purdue Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5.3 | Building |
| 61 | South Florida American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5.5 | Building |
| 62 | Wake Forest ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5.7 | Building |
| 63 | New Mexico Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 6.3 | Building |
| 64 | Nevada Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 6.3 | Building |
| 65 | West Virginia Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5.6 | Building |
| 66 | Baylor Big 12 | 0–1 | 9.7 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4.6 | Building |
| 67 | Georgia Southern Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 5.9 | Building |
| 68 | Eastern Michigan MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–1 | 9.6 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 4.6 | Building |
| 69 | Temple American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 9.3 | 8.5 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5.7 | Building |
| 70 | Maryland Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 5.4 | Building |
| 71 | Wisconsin Big Ten | 0–1 | 9.2 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 3.9 | Building |
| 72 | TCU Big 12 | 0–1 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4.0 | Building |
| 73 | North Texas American | 0–1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.1 | Building |
| 74 | Troy Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.6 | Building |
| 75 | Vanderbilt SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5.3 | Building |
| 76 | Arkansas SEC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5.3 | Building |
| 77 | Syracuse ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5.6 | Building |
| 78 | Arizona State Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5.5 | Building |
| 79 | Boise State Pac-12 | 0–1 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.4 | Building |
| 80 | UCF Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5.5 | Building |
| 81 | Virginia Tech ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 5.6 | Building |
| 82 | Hawaii Mountain West | 0–0 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 83 | Clemson ACC | 0–1 | 8.4 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | Building |
| 84 | Arizona Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 5.4 | Building |
| 85 | Army American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 5.8 | Building |
| 86 | San Jose State Mountain West | 0–0 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 87 | Louisiana–Monroe Sun Belt | 0–1 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4.0 | Building |
| 88 | Air Force Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5.9 | Building |
| 89 | Delaware CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6.1 | Building |
| 90 | Kennesaw State CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6.2 | Building |
| 91 | San Diego State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 5.7 | Building |
| 92 | UConn Independent Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5.9 | Building |
| 93 | Appalachian State Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6.0 | Building |
| 94 | Southern Miss Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6.0 | Building |
| 95 | Boston College ACC | 0–1 | 8.1 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 3.5 | Building |
| 96 | UTSA American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | Building |
| 97 | UMass MAC | 0–0 | 8.1 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 98 | Old Dominion Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5.8 | Building |
| 99 | South Alabama Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5.8 | Building |
| 100 | Oklahoma State Big 12 | 0–1 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 3.1 | Building |
| 101 | California ACC | 0–1 | 8.0 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 3.4 | Building |
| 102 | Kent State MAC | 0–1 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4.1 | Building |
| 103 | FIU CUSA | 0–0 | 8.0 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 104 | Middle Tennessee CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6.0 | Building |
| 105 | Western Michigan MAC | 0–1 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4.8 | Building |
| 106 | Texas State Pac-12 | 0–1 | 7.9 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4.0 | Building |
| 107 | Washington State Pac-12 | 0–1 | 7.9 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4.1 | Building |
| 108 | Florida Atlantic American | 0–1 | 7.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 3.8 | Building |
| 109 | East Carolina American | 0–1 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4.0 | Building |
| 110 | Coastal Carolina Sun Belt | 0–1 | 7.8 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4.3 | Building |
| 111 | Ohio MAC | 0–1 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4.2 | Building |
| 112 | Tulane American | 0–1 | 7.7 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 3.8 | Building |
| 113 | Oregon State Pac-12 | 0–1 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4.0 | Building |
| 114 | Fresno State Pac-12 | 0–1 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 3.9 | Building |
| 115 | UAB American | 0–1 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4.0 | Building |
| 116 | Marshall Sun Belt | 0–1 | 7.7 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4.0 | Building |
| 117 | Ball State MAC | 0–1 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4.4 | Building |
| 118 | UTEP Mountain West | 0–1 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.2 | Building |
| 119 | Miami (OH) MAC | 0–1 | 7.5 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 3.9 | Building |
| 120 | Missouri State CUSA | 0–1 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4.3 | Building |
| 121 | Toledo MAC | 0–1 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4.4 | Building |
| 122 | Northern Illinois Mountain West | 0–1 | 7.4 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4.0 | Building |
| 123 | Charlotte American | 0–1 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 3.9 | Building |
| 124 | New Mexico State CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–1 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5.2 | Building |
| 125 | UNLV Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 1–1 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4.9 | Building |
| 126 | Stanford ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–1 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4.0 | Building |
| 127 | Arkansas State Sun Belt | 0–1 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 3.8 | Building |
| 128 | Akron MAC | 0–1 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 4.1 | Building |
| 129 | Sam Houston CUSA | 0–1 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 4.3 | Building |
| 130 | Liberty CUSA | 0–1 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 4.0 | Building |
| 131 | Jacksonville State CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4.9 | Building |
| 132 | Sacramento State MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–1 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 4.8 | Building |
| 133 | Central Michigan MAC | 0–1 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 3.4 | Building |
| 134 | Wyoming Mountain West | 0–1 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 3.6 | Building |
| 135 | Rutgers Big Ten | 0–1 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | Building |
| 136 | Western Kentucky CUSA | 0–1 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.4 | Building |
| 137 | Bowling Green MAC | 0–1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 3.1 | Building |
| 138 | Utah State Pac-12 | 0–1 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.4 | Building |
Base — can they get there/Chaos — how much fun if they do
The most-likely 12: five conference autobids plus seven at-large, seeded by playoff probability. Byes to seeds 1–4.
Highest playoff odds outside the Field. Explains absences like a lower-p conference champion taking an autobid seat.
Not in the most-likely 12, but still in the conversation. Playoff P ≥ 10% until week 9, then ≥ 5%.
No realistic path of their own. Can still end someone else's season.
8.0% playoff odds
Can wreck: Oklahoma
Week 13 · 46% to win · −2.0 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
6.0% playoff odds
Can wreck: Iowa St
Week 10 · 56% to win · −1.9 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
7.0% playoff odds
Can wreck: Georgia
Week 9 · 37% to win · −2.4 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
7.0% playoff odds
Can wreck: LSU
Week 8 · 49% to win · −1.9 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
8.0% playoff odds
Can wreck: Houston
Week 10 · 42% to win · −1.9 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
7.0% playoff odds
Can wreck: Georgia
Week 12 · 44% to win · −2.1 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
56 spoilers this week · top 6 by Field Impact