Texas Tech
Big 12 · 3–0 · 30.5 receipt · 23% playoff · AP #13 (Δ +4)
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frozen 2026-09-21 · weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21 · v1.2
Total
30.5
Base
22.4
Chaos
8.1
Receipt history
One published week so far. Sunday 10pm MT is the appointment — diffs start at Week 1.
Field Impact
0.0
Published beside the Score, not inside it. Expected playoff-odds damage this team can deal to Field and Bubble opponents.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
No remaining cached games for this team. Midweek results update scores only; swings wait for the Sunday freeze.
Helmet Head
Texas Tech holds a 30.5 early-season receipt (3–0).
Additive line
playoff 8.7 + résumé 7.7 + trajectory 6.0 = base 22.4
buzz ∅ + story 0.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 5.8 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos raw 12.8
Chaos 12.8 × early-season scale 0.63 = 8.1
Fan Bump 0 — disclosed only, not inside the 100
base + chaos = 30.5
Ledger
Week 0 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.24
Week 1 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.23
Week 2 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.23
Storyline log
No auto or editorial triggers on this card.