Michigan
Big Ten · 3–0 · 32.6 receipt · 21% playoff · AP #19 (Δ -5)
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frozen 2026-09-21 · weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21 · v1.2
Total
32.6
Base
24.6
Chaos
8.0
Receipt history
One published week so far. Sunday 10pm MT is the appointment — diffs start at Week 1.
Field Impact
0.0
Published beside the Score, not inside it. Expected playoff-odds damage this team can deal to Field and Bubble opponents.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
No remaining cached games for this team. Midweek results update scores only; swings wait for the Sunday freeze.
Helmet Head
Additive line
playoff 7.8 + résumé 10.6 + trajectory 6.2 = base 24.6
buzz ∅ + story 0.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 5.6 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos raw 12.6
Chaos 12.6 × early-season scale 0.63 = 8.0
Fan Bump 0 — disclosed only, not inside the 100
base + chaos = 32.6
Ledger
Week 0 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.19
Week 2 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.20
Storyline log
No auto or editorial triggers on this card.