Quiet archive · public launch early November

Jansanity Score

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#15bubble

Penn State

Big Ten · 30 · 32.0 receipt · 22% playoff · AP #14 (Δ +1)

base 23.9/60chaos 8.1/40 · hatched = provisional
ROAD TO JANSANITYWEEK 3
PENN STATE3-0

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PLAYOFF PROBABILITY8.3 / 35.0
RESUME9.3 / 15.0
TRAJECTORY6.3 / 10.0

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BASE23.9 / 60.0
BUZZprovisional
STORYLINE0.0 / 10.0
VOLATILITY7.0 / 7.0
BRACKET IMPACT5.7 / 7.0
STAR POWERprovisional
PRETENDER RISK0.0

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CHAOS8.1 / 40.0
SCALEChaos 12.7 × early-season scale 0.63 = 8.1

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TOTAL32.0

frozen 2026-09-21 · weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21 · v1.2

Total

32.0

Base

23.9

Chaos

8.1

Receipt history

One published week so far. Sunday 10pm MT is the appointment — diffs start at Week 1.

Wk 3
32.0

Field Impact

0.0

Published beside the Score, not inside it. Expected playoff-odds damage this team can deal to Field and Bubble opponents.

Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%

No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.

Games that decide us

No remaining cached games for this team. Midweek results update scores only; swings wait for the Sunday freeze.

Helmet Head

    Additive line

    playoff 8.3 + résumé 9.3 + trajectory 6.3 = base 23.9

    buzz + story 0.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 5.7 + star + pretender 0 → chaos raw 12.7

    Chaos 12.7 × early-season scale 0.63 = 8.1

    Fan Bump 0 — disclosed only, not inside the 100

    base + chaos = 32.0

    Ledger

    1. Week 2 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT

      First Four Out at p=0.20

    Storyline log

    No auto or editorial triggers on this card.

    Penn State · Jansanity Score