BaylorFI 40.1
6.0% playoff odds
base 16.2/60chaos 3.6/40 · hatched = provisional
Can wreck: Texas Tech
Week 12 · 48% to win · −2.2 pts
No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.
The Sunday Receipt · Week 4
What the board says
Frozen Week 4 receipt (weekly-2026-w4-frozen-2026-09-28). Served from the published board-full JSON — this page does not re-score.
Games That Matter this week
Full slateUpset Watch: every Field game this week, even a heavy favorite, plus the tagged slate. Deduped. Stake lines come from the board.
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Week 5 · lookahead · 2026-10-03
SPOILER ALERTBYE ON THE LINE
100
Jansanity Index
swing 0.600
Marshall at James Madison
Week 5 · lookahead · 2026-10-03
AUTOBID ELIMINATOR
61
Jansanity Index
swing 0.410
Alabama at Mississippi State
Week 5 · lookahead · 2026-10-03
AUTOBID ELIMINATOR
57
Jansanity Index
swing 0.390
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Week 5 · lookahead · 2026-10-02
AUTOBID ELIMINATOR
55
Jansanity Index
swing 0.380
Ohio State at Iowa
Week 5 · lookahead · 2026-10-03
AUTOBID ELIMINATORBYE ON THE LINE
47
Jansanity Index
swing 0.340
See the rest of Upset Watch · 1 more
Board Wrecker
The final that moved the Field the most. Not a vibe award. Not a line on a team receipt.
Ole Miss 28 at Florida 52
wreck 20.1 · 2 Field/bye/FFO flips · 0.14 published seats
Out · Ole Miss
What changed
Score Δ vs last Sunday's frozen board. Field tape is who entered, left, or swapped a bye.
Risers
- Nebraska+10.9 · r+13
- Florida+10.7 · r+15
- LSU+10.4 · r+11
- Louisiana+10.1 · r+22
- UCLA+10.0 · r+13
Fallers
- North Dakota State-9.0 · r-20
- Kansas State-6.4 · r-19
- Ole Miss-5.9 · r-16
- Memphis-5.3 · r-17
- Northwestern-4.8 · r-18
- Notre Dame-3.9 · r-9
Notre Dame won and dropped 3.9: Volatility 7.0 → 1.4. Résumé went up.
Field tape
In · Mississippi StateIn · NebraskaOut · Ole MissOut · Texas Tech
Chaos risers
- South Florida+4.9 · r+11
- Georgia State+4.3 · r+26
- UCLA+4.3 · r+13
Loading board…
Jansanity Meter
37Restless
Movement 2.42 seats
Field spread 43.2 pts — first to last on the receipt. It is not the Meter.
Full board
| # | Team | Rec | Total | Base | Chaos | Ply | Rsm | Traj | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (FL) ACC | 4–0 | 48.3 | 39.4 | 8.9 | 20.5 | 12.4 | 6.6 | Building |
| 2 | Georgia SEC | 4–0 | 47.6 | 38.6 | 9.0 | 18.8 | 13.4 | 6.4 | Building |
| 3 | Ohio State Big Ten | 3–1 | 47.2 | 38.4 | 8.8 | 21.1 | 11.6 | 5.7 | Building |
| 4 | Mississippi State SEC | 4–0 | 45.2 | 32.3 | 12.9 | 10.3 | 15.0 | 7.0 | Building |
| 5 | Oregon Big Ten | 3–1 | 42.9 | 33.8 | 9.1 | 18.1 | 10.5 | 5.2 | Building |
| 6 | James Madison Sun Belt | 4–0 | 42.1 | 28.8 | 13.3 | 12.0 | 9.7 | 7.0 | Building |
| 7 | LSU SEC | 3–1 | 40.2 | 31.2 | 9.0 | 11.2 | 14.0 | 6.0 | Building |
| 8 | Nebraska Big Ten | 4–0 | 39.6 | 26.9 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 11.0 | 6.4 | Building |
| 9 | Texas SEC | 4–0 | 39.4 | 31.2 | 8.2 | 9.8 | 15.0 | 6.4 | Building |
| 10 | Notre Dame Independent | 4–0 | 38.8 | 33.8 | 5.0 | 12.3 | 15.0 | 6.6 | Building |
| 11 | Pittsburgh ACC | 4–0 | 38.7 | 26.3 | 12.4 | 7.4 | 12.1 | 6.7 | Building |
| 12 | UCLA Big Ten | 4–0 | 36.5 | 27.2 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 15.0 | 7.0 | Building |
| 13 | Florida SEC | 4–0 | 35.9 | 26.8 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 14.8 | 7.1 | Building |
| 14 | Indiana Big Ten | 4–0 | 35.7 | 28.4 | 7.3 | 10.3 | 12.0 | 6.1 | Building |
| 15 | Texas Tech Big 12 | 4–0 | 35.5 | 27.1 | 8.4 | 9.3 | 11.6 | 6.1 | Building |
| 16 | Alabama SEC | 4–0 | 34.3 | 28.7 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 15.0 | 7.1 | Building |
| 17 | Duke ACC | 4–0 | 34.0 | 24.5 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 12.6 | 6.8 | Building |
| 18 | Cincinnati Big 12 | 4–0 | 33.6 | 24.0 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 11.9 | 6.5 | Building |
| 19 | BYU Big 12 | 3–0 | 33.4 | 23.3 | 10.1 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 6.4 | Building |
| 20 | Ole Miss SEC | 3–1 | 32.9 | 26.5 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 13.3 | 5.2 | Building |
| 21 | South Florida American | 4–0 | 31.8 | 20.0 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.4 | Building |
| 22 | USC Big Ten | 4–1 | 30.7 | 24.0 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 13.6 | 5.5 | Building |
| 23 | Utah Big 12 | 4–0 | 28.1 | 23.7 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 12.9 | 6.9 | Building |
| 24 | Michigan Big Ten | 3–1 | 27.9 | 22.9 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 11.2 | 5.7 | Building |
| 25 | Penn State Big Ten | 3–1 | 27.8 | 22.2 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 10.4 | 5.5 | Building |
| 26 | Texas A&M SEC | 2–2 | 27.2 | 19.5 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 4.1 | Building |
| 27 | North Dakota State Mountain West | 4–0 | 26.7 | 20.9 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 9.6 | 6.8 | Building |
| 28 | Oklahoma SEC | 2–2 | 25.7 | 18.9 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 7.8 | 4.3 | Building |
| 29 | Iowa Big Ten | 4–0 | 25.4 | 21.6 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 12.1 | 6.0 | Building |
| 30 | Houston Big 12 | 3–1 | 24.8 | 18.4 | 6.4 | 5.1 | 7.6 | 5.8 | Building |
| 31 | Louisiana Sun Belt | 3–1 | 24.8 | 18.6 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 7.3 | 6.3 | Building |
| 32 | Oklahoma State Big 12 | 3–1 | 24.4 | 19.8 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 10.8 | 6.0 | Building |
| 33 | Clemson ACC | 3–1 | 24.4 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 5.8 | Building |
| 34 | Auburn SEC | 3–1 | 23.0 | 19.9 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 12.6 | 5.5 | Building |
| 35 | Virginia Tech ACC | 4–0 | 23.0 | 20.1 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 11.6 | 6.7 | Building |
| 36 | Georgia State Sun Belt | 3–1 | 22.2 | 15.7 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 6.2 | 6.0 | Building |
| 37 | SMU ACC | 3–1 | 21.9 | 17.3 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 7.4 | 5.0 | Building |
| 38 | Washington Big Ten | 3–1 | 21.9 | 16.4 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 5.1 | Building |
| 39 | Tennessee SEC | 3–1 | 21.6 | 17.0 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 8.0 | 5.7 | Building |
| 40 | Missouri SEC | 3–1 | 21.6 | 16.6 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 8.2 | 5.7 | Building |
| 41 | Kansas State Big 12 | 3–1 | 21.5 | 16.8 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 5.7 | Building |
| 42 | Wake Forest ACC | 3–1 | 21.5 | 18.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 11.4 | 5.5 | Building |
| 43 | Memphis American | 3–1 | 21.1 | 16.5 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 7.0 | 5.5 | Building |
| 44 | Minnesota Big Ten | 3–1 | 20.8 | 16.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 5.1 | Building |
| 45 | Kentucky SEC | 3–1 | 20.7 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 9.4 | 5.5 | Building |
| 46 | Baylor Big 12 | 3–1 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 5.9 | Building |
| 47 | Wisconsin Big Ten | 3–1 | 19.4 | 16.2 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 5.6 | Building |
| 48 | Northwestern Big Ten | 2–1 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 5.5 | Building |
| 49 | UCF Big 12 | 3–1 | 19.1 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 5.8 | Building |
| 50 | Florida Atlantic American | 3–1 | 19.0 | 15.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 7.0 | 5.7 | Building |
| 51 | Louisville ACC | 2–2 | 18.9 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 5.1 | Building |
| 52 | Virginia ACC | 3–1 | 18.6 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 8.3 | 5.7 | Building |
| 53 | Boise State Pac-12 | 3–1 | 18.5 | 16.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 8.3 | 6.2 | Building |
| 54 | West Virginia Big 12 | 3–1 | 17.9 | 14.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 7.9 | 5.3 | Building |
| 55 | Vanderbilt SEC | 3–1 | 17.7 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 5.1 | Building |
| 56 | UTSA American | 3–1 | 17.5 | 15.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 6.1 | Building |
| 57 | Tulsa American | 3–1 | 17.4 | 15.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 5.9 | Building |
| 58 | Arizona Big 12 | 3–1 | 16.9 | 13.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 5.4 | Building |
| 59 | Michigan State Big Ten | 2–2 | 16.6 | 13.7 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 4.5 | Building |
| 60 | North Carolina ACC | 2–1 | 16.5 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 5.2 | Building |
| 61 | Toledo MAC | 3–1 | 16.5 | 14.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 7.0 | 6.1 | Building |
| 62 | New Mexico Mountain West | 3–1 | 16.4 | 14.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 6.3 | Building |
| 63 | Fresno State Pac-12 | 3–1 | 16.0 | 13.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 5.6 | Building |
| 64 | Liberty CUSA | 3–1 | 15.6 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.1 | Building |
| 65 | Appalachian State Sun Belt | 3–1 | 15.4 | 13.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 5.8 | Building |
| 66 | Marshall Sun Belt | 3–1 | 15.3 | 13.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 5.3 | Building |
| 67 | Jacksonville State CUSA | 3–2 | 15.1 | 13.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 5.6 | Building |
| 68 | NC State ACC | 2–2 | 14.7 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 4.5 | Building |
| 69 | Arkansas SEC | 2–2 | 14.7 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 5.6 | 4.4 | Building |
| 70 | Illinois Big Ten | 2–2 | 14.3 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 4.6 | Building |
| 71 | Tulane American | 2–2 | 14.3 | 12.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 4.6 | Building |
| 72 | Maryland Big Ten | 2–2 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 | Building |
| 73 | South Carolina SEC | 2–2 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 | Building |
| 74 | UAB American | 2–2 | 13.9 | 11.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 4.5 | Building |
| 75 | Arizona State Big 12 | 2–1 | 13.8 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 5.0 | Building |
| 76 | Boston College ACC | 2–2 | 13.8 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 4.3 | Building |
| 77 | California ACC | 2–2 | 13.7 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 4.3 | Building |
| 78 | Stanford ACC | 2–2 | 13.6 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 4.2 | Building |
| 79 | Iowa State Big 12 | 2–2 | 13.5 | 10.7 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 4.6 | Building |
| 80 | North Texas American | 2–2 | 13.5 | 11.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 5.0 | Building |
| 81 | TCU Big 12 | 2–2 | 13.5 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 4.6 | Building |
| 82 | Colorado Big 12 | 2–2 | 13.2 | 10.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 4.0 | Building |
| 83 | Texas State Pac-12 | 2–2 | 13.2 | 11.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 5.1 | Building |
| 84 | Miami (OH) MAC | 2–2 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 5.3 | Building |
| 85 | Oregon State Pac-12 | 2–2 | 12.7 | 10.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 5.1 | Building |
| 86 | Central Michigan MAC | 2–2 | 12.5 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 4.9 | Building |
| 87 | Colorado State Pac-12 | 2–2 | 12.4 | 10.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 4.7 | Building |
| 88 | Western Michigan MAC | 2–2 | 12.2 | 10.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 5.4 | Building |
| 89 | Kent State MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 5.1 | Building |
| 90 | Army American Pretender Risk −4 | 2–1 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 5.4 | Building |
| 91 | Florida State ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 4.7 | Building |
| 92 | Delaware CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 5.3 | Building |
| 93 | Ohio MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 94 | UConn Independent Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 4.9 | Building |
| 95 | South Alabama Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 5.0 | Building |
| 96 | East Carolina American Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 4.8 | Building |
| 97 | Air Force Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 2–1 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 5.4 | Building |
| 98 | UNLV Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 4.7 | Building |
| 99 | Middle Tennessee CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 5.0 | Building |
| 100 | Arkansas State Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 4.6 | Building |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 2–3 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 4.2 | Building |
| 102 | Troy Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 4.6 | Building |
| 103 | Utah State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | Building |
| 104 | Hawaii Mountain West | 0–0 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 105 | San Jose State Mountain West | 0–0 | 8.3 | 7.6 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 106 | UMass MAC | 0–0 | 8.1 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 107 | FIU CUSA | 0–0 | 8.0 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5.0 | Building |
| 108 | Nevada Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 3.4 | Building |
| 109 | Purdue Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.7 | Building |
| 110 | Louisiana Tech Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–2 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4.8 | Building |
| 111 | Syracuse ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–2 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4.0 | Building |
| 112 | Sam Houston CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4.5 | Building |
| 113 | Kansas Big 12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–2 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3.6 | Building |
| 114 | Washington State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.8 | Building |
| 115 | Western Kentucky CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4.1 | Building |
| 116 | Navy American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–2 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.1 | Building |
| 117 | Temple American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4.1 | Building |
| 118 | Missouri State CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4.3 | Building |
| 119 | Georgia Tech ACC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.5 | Building |
| 120 | Rice American Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3.7 | Building |
| 121 | Charlotte American | 0–4 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.6 | Building |
| 122 | Georgia Southern Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4.1 | Building |
| 123 | Buffalo MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4.0 | Building |
| 124 | Kennesaw State CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4.3 | Building |
| 125 | UTEP Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3.8 | Building |
| 126 | Northern Illinois Mountain West | 0–4 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.8 | Building |
| 127 | Old Dominion Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4.0 | Building |
| 128 | Louisiana–Monroe Sun Belt | 0–4 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | Building |
| 129 | San Diego State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3.6 | Building |
| 130 | Wyoming Mountain West Pretender Risk −4 | 2–2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4.0 | Building |
| 131 | Bowling Green MAC | 0–4 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.8 | Building |
| 132 | Southern Miss Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 | Building |
| 133 | Akron MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3.8 | Building |
| 134 | Ball State MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3.8 | Building |
| 135 | Coastal Carolina Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3.7 | Building |
| 136 | New Mexico State CUSA Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3.6 | Building |
| 137 | Rutgers Big Ten Pretender Risk −4 | 1–3 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.4 | Building |
| 138 | Sacramento State MAC Pretender Risk −4 | 1–4 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.2 | Building |