BYU
Big 12 · 3–0 · 35.1 receipt · 27% playoff · AP #11 (Δ -3)
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frozen 2026-09-21 · weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21 · v1.2
Total
35.1
Base
24.9
Chaos
10.2
Receipt history
One published week so far. Sunday 10pm MT is the appointment — diffs start at Week 1.
Field Impact
0.0
Published beside the Score, not inside it. Expected playoff-odds damage this team can deal to Field and Bubble opponents.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
No remaining cached games for this team. Midweek results update scores only; swings wait for the Sunday freeze.
Helmet Head
BYU holds a 35.1 early-season receipt (3–0).
Additive line
playoff 10.3 + résumé 8.2 + trajectory 6.5 = base 24.9
buzz ∅ + story 3.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 6.2 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos raw 16.2
Chaos 16.2 × early-season scale 0.63 = 10.2
Fan Bump 0 — disclosed only, not inside the 100
base + chaos = 35.1
Ledger
Week 1 · FIRST_FOUR_OUT
First Four Out at p=0.21
Storyline log
- FIRST_EVER · auto · Not in CFP_APPEARANCES_2014_2025, and playoff P ≥ .15 or week ≥ 9.