Quiet archive · public launch early November

Jansanity Score

The Sunday Receipt · Week 3

What the board says

Frozen Week 3 receipt (weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21). Served from the published board-full JSON — this page does not re-score.

Games That Matter this week

Ranked by jansanityIndex — how much the game moves the sport, including bystanders. Top 5 on the board.

Notre Dame at Purdue

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

BYE ON THE LINE

Jansanity Index

Ole Miss at Florida

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

SPOILER ALERTAUTOBID ELIMINATOR

Jansanity Index

Oklahoma at Georgia

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

AUTOBID ELIMINATORBYE ON THE LINE

Jansanity Index

Missouri at Mississippi State

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

AUTOBID ELIMINATOR

Jansanity Index

Oregon at USC

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

AUTOBID ELIMINATORBYE ON THE LINE

Jansanity Index

See the rest of the slate · 3 more

Kansas State at Cincinnati

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

AUTOBID ELIMINATOR

Jansanity Index

Northwestern at Indiana

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

Jansanity Index

James Madison at Old Dominion

Week 4 · lookahead · 2026-09-26

AUTOBID ELIMINATOR

Jansanity Index

Board Wrecker

The final that moved the Field the most. Not a vibe award. Not a line on a team receipt.

Houston 26 at Texas Tech 28

wreck 20.0 · 2 Field/bye/FFO flips · 0.04 published seats

In · Texas Tech

What changed

Score Δ vs last Sunday's frozen board. Field tape is who entered, left, or swapped a bye.

Risers

NDSU+12.8 · r+18
Pittsburgh+11.7 · r+14
Florida+11.6 · r+16
Northwestern+11.4 · r+16
Louisville+11.2 · r+18

Fallers

Georgia St-5.2 · r-31
North Carolina-5.0 · r-19
SMU-4.6 · r-18
Houston-3.8 · r-17
Colorado-3.7 · r-19

Field tape

In · Texas TechOut · OklahomaBye + · GeorgiaBye − · Notre Dame

Chaos risers

Florida+6.0 · r+16
NDSU+5.4 · r+18
Louisville+5.2 · r+18

Loading board…

Jansanity Meter

36Restless

Movement 1.84 seats

Field spread 37.1 pts — first to last on the receipt. It is not the Meter.

Full board

#	Team	Rec	Total	Base	Chaos	Ply	Rsm	Traj	Conf.
1	Notre Dame Independent	3–0	42.7	34.3	8.4	15.2	12.6	6.5	Building
2	Miami (FL) ACC	3–0	42.3	33.7	8.6	18.8	8.3	6.5	Building
3	Ohio State Big Ten	2–1	38.8	30.8	8.0	19.1	6.4	5.2	Building
4	Ole Miss SEC	3–0	38.8	30.3	8.5	11.9	12.0	6.4	Building
5	Georgia SEC	3–0	38.5	29.8	8.7	16.4	7.4	6.0	Building
6	Mississippi State SEC	3–0	38.2	26.4	11.8	7.9	11.5	7.0	Building
7	North Dakota State Mountain West	4–0	35.7	23.7	12.0	7.5	9.3	6.8	Building
8	BYU Big 12	3–0	35.1	24.9	10.2	10.3	8.2	6.5	Building
9	Texas SEC	3–0	34.7	28.0	6.7	9.5	12.4	6.1	Building
10	Pittsburgh ACC	3–0	34.6	23.2	11.4	6.0	10.5	6.7	Building
11	USC Big Ten	4–0	34.3	25.4	8.9	7.2	12.0	6.3	Building
12	James Madison Sun Belt	3–0	33.5	21.4	12.1	8.1	6.3	6.9	Building
13	Oregon Big Ten	2–1	33.2	24.6	8.6	15.4	4.8	4.3	Building
14	Michigan Big Ten	3–0	32.6	24.6	8.0	7.8	10.6	6.2	Building
15	Penn State Big Ten	3–0	32.0	23.9	8.1	8.3	9.3	6.3	Building
16	Alabama SEC	3–0	30.7	25.3	5.4	6.5	12.0	6.9	Building
17	Texas Tech Big 12	3–0	30.5	22.4	8.1	8.7	7.7	6.0	Building
18	LSU SEC	2–1	29.8	22.4	7.4	9.0	8.0	5.4	Building
19	Indiana Big Ten	3–0	29.4	21.9	7.5	9.5	6.6	5.8	Building
20	Duke ACC	3–0	29.0	21.9	7.1	3.9	11.1	6.9	Building
21	Nebraska Big Ten	3–0	28.7	17.4	11.3	5.7	5.8	5.9	Building
22	Kansas State Big 12	3–0	27.9	18.6	9.3	5.2	7.0	6.4	Building
23	Oklahoma SEC	2–1	27.1	20.2	6.9	8.4	6.9	4.9	Building
24	Texas A&M SEC	2–1	26.7	20.0	6.7	7.5	7.7	4.8	Building
25	UCLA Big Ten	3–0	26.5	21.5	5.0	3.1	11.5	6.9	Building
26	Memphis American	3–1	26.4	17.0	9.4	5.0	6.7	5.4	Building
27	Missouri SEC	3–0	25.7	18.4	7.3	4.8	7.3	6.4	Building
28	Florida SEC	3–0	25.2	18.1	7.1	3.3	8.3	6.5	Building
29	Cincinnati Big 12	3–0	24.7	17.5	7.2	4.1	7.0	6.4	Building
30	Northwestern Big Ten	2–0	24.0	15.5	8.5	5.0	4.2	6.3	Building
31	Louisville ACC	2–1	22.6	15.7	6.9	4.8	5.1	5.8	Building
32	South Florida American	3–0	22.1	15.2	6.9	4.8	4.0	6.4	Building
33	Washington Big Ten	3–0	21.6	16.7	4.9	4.6	6.4	5.7	Building
34	Tennessee SEC	3–0	21.6	17.5	4.1	3.9	7.2	6.3	Building
35	Utah Big 12	3–0	21.6	17.7	3.9	3.5	7.7	6.5	Building
36	Houston Big 12	2–1	20.1	14.0	6.1	4.3	4.2	5.5	Building
37	Iowa Big Ten	3–0	20.1	16.5	3.6	3.3	7.1	6.0	Building
38	Tulsa American	3–0	19.2	15.9	3.3	2.0	7.0	7.0	Building
39	Virginia Tech ACC	3–0	18.9	16.1	2.8	1.7	7.7	6.7	Building
40	SMU ACC	2–1	18.7	14.1	4.6	4.9	4.5	4.8	Building
41	West Virginia Big 12	3–0	18.2	15.4	2.8	1.7	7.1	6.5	Building
42	North Carolina ACC	2–1	18.1	13.1	5.0	3.2	4.7	5.2	Building
43	Iowa State Big 12	2–1	17.8	12.1	5.7	3.4	3.4	5.3	Building
44	Vanderbilt SEC	3–0	17.5	14.6	2.9	1.9	6.8	5.8	Building
45	Michigan State Big Ten	2–1	16.9	13.6	3.3	2.3	6.1	5.1	Building
46	Auburn SEC	2–1	16.9	14.2	2.7	1.9	7.3	5.0	Building
47	Kentucky SEC	2–1	16.8	13.3	3.5	2.2	5.8	5.2	Building
48	Clemson ACC	2–1	16.8	14.2	2.6	1.8	7.2	5.2	Building
49	Wake Forest ACC	2–1	16.6	14.0	2.6	1.7	7.2	5.2	Building
50	Appalachian State Sun Belt	3–0	16.3	14.1	2.2	1.4	6.1	6.6	Building
51	Oklahoma State Big 12	2–1	15.9	13.0	2.9	2.1	5.7	5.2	Building
52	Marshall Sun Belt	2–1	15.0	12.5	2.5	1.7	5.5	5.4	Building
53	Louisiana Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	2–1	14.6	12.5	2.1	2.7	3.9	5.8	Building
54	Florida Atlantic American	2–1	14.5	11.2	3.3	1.8	4.1	5.2	Building
55	Virginia ACC	2–1	14.5	11.9	2.6	1.7	4.7	5.4	Building
56	Colorado Big 12	2–1	14.3	11.1	3.2	2.3	4.4	4.5	Building
57	Boise State Pac-12	2–1	14.2	12.1	2.1	1.7	4.7	5.7	Building
58	Maryland Big Ten	2–1	14.1	11.4	2.7	1.9	4.4	5.0	Building
59	Arizona State Big 12	2–1	14.0	11.4	2.6	1.8	4.5	5.1	Building
60	Illinois Big Ten	2–1	13.8	11.1	2.7	1.9	4.2	5.1	Building
61	UCF Big 12	2–1	13.7	11.1	2.6	1.8	4.0	5.3	Building
62	California ACC	2–1	13.6	11.0	2.6	1.7	4.4	4.9	Building
63	Georgia State Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	2–1	13.5	11.4	2.1	2.3	3.3	5.8	Building
64	Boston College ACC	2–1	13.4	10.8	2.6	1.7	4.3	4.8	Building
65	UTSA American	2–1	12.9	11.0	1.9	1.3	4.0	5.6	Building
66	Central Michigan MAC Pretender Risk −4	2–1	12.0	10.4	1.6	2.0	3.4	5.0	Building
67	Minnesota Big Ten Pretender Risk −4	2–1	11.7	10.7	1.0	2.3	3.8	4.6	Building
68	Baylor Big 12 Pretender Risk −4	2–1	11.6	11.3	0.3	2.0	3.8	5.5	Building
69	Texas State Pac-12	1–2	11.6	9.9	1.7	1.4	4.0	4.5	Building
70	New Mexico Mountain West Pretender Risk −4	2–1	11.4	11.4	0.0	1.4	3.8	6.2	Building
71	Western Michigan MAC Pretender Risk −4	2–1	11.3	11.3	0.0	1.1	3.9	6.4	Building
72	TCU Big 12 Pretender Risk −4	2–1	11.1	10.8	0.3	1.9	3.8	5.1	Building
73	South Carolina SEC Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.9	10.7	0.2	1.9	3.9	5.0	Building
74	Wisconsin Big Ten Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.8	10.6	0.2	1.9	3.8	5.0	Building
75	Delaware CUSA Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.8	10.8	0.0	1.2	3.6	6.0	Building
76	UConn Independent Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.6	10.6	0.0	1.2	3.7	5.6	Building
77	Arizona Big 12 Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.5	10.4	0.1	1.7	3.6	5.0	Building
78	Colorado State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.5	10.5	0.0	1.4	3.7	5.4	Building
79	Toledo MAC Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.5	10.5	0.0	1.2	3.7	5.6	Building
80	Fresno State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.3	10.3	0.0	1.4	3.5	5.4	Building
81	Middle Tennessee CUSA Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.2	10.2	0.0	1.1	3.2	5.9	Building
82	Liberty CUSA Pretender Risk −4	2–1	10.1	10.1	0.0	1.1	3.5	5.6	Building
83	Troy Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	2–1	9.8	9.8	0.0	1.1	3.2	5.4	Building
84	Jacksonville State CUSA Pretender Risk −4	2–2	9.8	9.8	0.0	1.0	3.6	5.2	Building
85	South Alabama Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	2–1	9.7	9.7	0.0	1.2	3.1	5.4	Building
86	North Texas American Pretender Risk −4	1–2	9.6	9.6	0.0	1.6	3.7	4.4	Building
87	Florida State ACC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	9.5	9.5	0.0	1.7	3.5	4.3	Building
88	Tulane American Pretender Risk −4	1–2	9.4	9.4	0.0	1.5	3.7	4.3	Building
89	East Carolina American Pretender Risk −4	1–2	9.1	9.1	0.0	1.4	3.3	4.4	Building
90	Ohio MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	8.5	8.5	0.0	1.1	3.1	4.3	Building
91	Hawaii Mountain West	0–0	8.4	7.6	0.8	1.8	0.8	5.0	Building
92	San Jose State Mountain West	0–0	8.3	7.6	0.7	1.8	0.8	5.0	Building
93	UAB American Pretender Risk −4	1–2	8.3	8.3	0.0	1.3	3.0	4.0	Building
94	UMass MAC	0–0	8.1	7.4	0.7	1.6	0.8	5.0	Building
95	Eastern Michigan MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–3	8.1	8.1	0.0	1.0	3.3	3.8	Building
96	NC State ACC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	8.0	7.3	0.7	2.2	1.2	3.9	Building
97	FIU CUSA	0–0	8.0	7.3	0.7	1.5	0.8	5.0	Building
98	Nevada Mountain West Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.6	7.6	0.0	1.2	2.8	3.6	Building
99	Navy American Pretender Risk −4	1–1	7.5	7.5	0.0	2.2	0.8	4.5	Building
100	Army American Pretender Risk −4	1–1	7.3	7.3	0.0	1.6	0.9	4.8	Building
101	Louisiana Tech Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.3	7.3	0.0	1.4	1.3	4.7	Building
102	Air Force Mountain West Pretender Risk −4	1–1	7.3	7.3	0.0	1.4	0.9	5.0	Building
103	Miami (OH) MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.3	7.3	0.0	1.2	1.2	4.9	Building
104	Purdue Big Ten Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.2	7.2	0.0	1.9	1.3	3.9	Building
105	Kent State MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.2	7.2	0.0	1.2	1.4	4.6	Building
106	Georgia Tech ACC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.1	7.1	0.0	1.8	1.2	4.1	Building
107	UTEP Mountain West Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.1	7.1	0.0	1.2	1.4	4.6	Building
108	Rutgers Big Ten	0–3	7.0	4.6	2.4	1.9	1.0	1.7	Building
109	Washington State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.0	7.0	0.0	1.4	1.3	4.3	Building
110	Temple American Pretender Risk −4	1–2	7.0	7.0	0.0	1.4	1.1	4.5	Building
111	Syracuse ACC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.9	6.9	0.0	1.7	1.2	4.0	Building
112	Rice American Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.9	6.9	0.0	1.5	1.2	4.2	Building
113	Oregon State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.9	6.9	0.0	1.4	1.3	4.3	Building
114	Charlotte American	0–3	6.9	5.4	1.5	1.3	0.9	3.2	Building
115	Arkansas SEC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.8	6.8	0.0	1.9	1.6	3.3	Building
116	Kansas Big 12 Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.8	6.8	0.0	1.9	1.3	3.7	Building
117	Sam Houston CUSA Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.8	6.8	0.0	1.0	1.0	4.9	Building
118	Old Dominion Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.7	6.7	0.0	1.2	1.1	4.4	Building
119	Coastal Carolina Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.7	6.7	0.0	1.2	1.0	4.5	Building
120	Akron MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.7	6.7	0.0	1.0	1.2	4.5	Building
121	Missouri State CUSA Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.7	6.7	0.0	1.0	1.1	4.6	Building
122	Stanford ACC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.6	6.6	0.0	1.7	1.4	3.5	Building
123	San Diego State Pac-12 Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.6	6.6	0.0	1.4	1.2	4.0	Building
124	Western Kentucky CUSA	0–3	6.6	5.4	1.2	1.0	1.2	3.2	Building
125	Kennesaw State CUSA Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.6	6.6	0.0	1.0	1.1	4.5	Building
126	Utah State Pac-12	0–3	6.5	5.0	1.5	1.4	1.0	2.6	Building
127	Arkansas State Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.5	6.5	0.0	1.2	1.1	4.3	Building
128	Georgia Southern Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.5	6.5	0.0	1.2	0.9	4.3	Building
129	Ball State MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.4	6.4	0.0	1.1	1.2	4.1	Building
130	Louisiana–Monroe Sun Belt	0–3	6.4	5.1	1.3	1.1	0.8	3.1	Building
131	Northern Illinois Mountain West	0–3	6.3	5.0	1.3	1.2	0.9	2.9	Building
132	Southern Miss Sun Belt Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.2	6.2	0.0	1.1	1.1	3.9	Building
133	UNLV Mountain West Pretender Risk −4	1–2	6.0	6.0	0.0	1.2	1.0	3.8	Building
134	Bowling Green MAC	0–3	6.0	4.8	1.2	1.0	0.9	2.8	Building
135	New Mexico State CUSA Pretender Risk −4	1–2	5.9	5.9	0.0	1.0	0.9	4.0	Building
136	Buffalo MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–2	5.7	5.7	0.0	1.1	1.0	3.6	Building
137	Sacramento State MAC Pretender Risk −4	1–3	5.7	5.7	0.0	0.9	1.0	3.7	Building
138	Wyoming Mountain West Pretender Risk −4	1–2	5.6	5.6	0.0	1.2	0.9	3.5	Building

Base — can they get there/Chaos — how much fun if they do

The Field

The most-likely 12: five conference autobids plus seven at-large, seeded by playoff probability. Byes to seeds 1–4.

First Four Out

Highest playoff odds outside the Field. Explains absences like a lower-p conference champion taking an autobid seat.

The Bubble

Not in the most-likely 12, but still in the conversation. Playoff P ≥ 10% until week 9, then ≥ 5%.

The Spoilers

No realistic path of their own. Can still end someone else's season.

FloridaFI 37.0

9.0% playoff odds

base 18.1/60chaos 7.1/40 · hatched = provisional

Can wreck: Ole Miss
Week 4 · 50% to win · −2.2 pts

No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.

Michigan StateFI 33.5

6.0% playoff odds

base 13.6/60chaos 3.3/40 · hatched = provisional

Can wreck: Northwestern
Week 7 · 54% to win · −1.8 pts

No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.

North CarolinaFI 33.0

9.0% playoff odds

base 13.1/60chaos 5.0/40 · hatched = provisional

Can wreck: Notre Dame
Week 5 · 27% to win · −3.7 pts

No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.

KentuckyFI 28.7

6.0% playoff odds

base 13.3/60chaos 3.5/40 · hatched = provisional

Can wreck: Louisville
Week 13 · 61% to win · −1.7 pts

No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.

IowaFI 28.1

9.0% playoff odds

base 16.5/60chaos 3.6/40 · hatched = provisional

Can wreck: Nebraska
Week 13 · 58% to win · −1.6 pts

No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.

VanderbiltFI 27.8

5.0% playoff odds

base 14.6/60chaos 2.9/40 · hatched = provisional

Can wreck: Miss St
Week 10 · 36% to win · −2.0 pts

No path of their own.
Can end someone else's season.

65 spoilers this week · top 6 by Field Impact

Jansanity Score · Week 3 receipt