James Madison
Sun Belt · 3–0 · 33.5 receipt · 22% playoff · AP unranked
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frozen 2026-09-21 · weekly-2026-w3-frozen-2026-09-21 · v1.2
Total
33.5
Base
21.4
Chaos
12.1
Receipt history
One published week so far. Sunday 10pm MT is the appointment — diffs start at Week 1.
Field Impact
0.0
Published beside the Score, not inside it. Expected playoff-odds damage this team can deal to Field and Bubble opponents.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
Helmet Head
James Madison holds a 33.5 early-season receipt (3–0).
Additive line
playoff 8.1 + résumé 6.3 + trajectory 6.9 = base 21.4
buzz ∅ + story 7.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 5.1 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos raw 19.1
Chaos 19.1 × early-season scale 0.63 = 12.1
Fan Bump 0 — disclosed only, not inside the 100
base + chaos = 33.5
Ledger
Week 2 · AP_DIVERGENCE
In the Field at seed 12; AP unranked
Week 2 · G5_IN_FIELD
Holding the Group of Five autobid at seed 12
Week 2 · CHAOS_LEADER
Most chaotic team in the sport: Chaos 10.4/40
Week 3 · AP_DIVERGENCE
In the Field at seed 12; AP unranked
Week 3 · G5_IN_FIELD
Holding the Group of Five autobid at seed 12
Week 3 · CHAOS_LEADER
Most chaotic team in the sport: Chaos 12.1/40
Storyline log
- G5_BID · auto · Highest remaining playoff P among the G5_BID eligible set.
- UNRANKED_PRESEASON · auto · Unranked in the AP preseason poll and now top 25 by playoff probability.