Boise State
Pac-12 · 6–1 · 42.5 · 47% playoff chance · AP #20 · 12 spots lower than our board
How this score is built
The Score is playoff strength (up to 60) plus chaos (up to 40). Playoff strength is how much of the bracket they already hold — chance, quality of wins, recent form. Chaos is how much they're scrambling everyone else. It is not a chaos-only number.
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frozen 2026-10-25 · weekly-2026-w8-frozen-2026-10-25 · v1.2
Playoff points 16 of 35 + quality wins 7.5 + trajectory 6.4 = playoff strength 30 of 60
buzz ∅ + story 3.0 + vol 7.0 + bracket 6.3 + star ∅ + pretender 0 → chaos 12.2 of 40
playoff strength + chaos = 42.5
Total
42.5
Base
30.3
Chaos
12.2
Receipt history
8 published weeks, from the frozen archive. The delta beside each week is the one on that receipt.
Spoiler power
0.0
Spoiler power 0/100 — how much damage this team can deal to everyone else's playoff hopes. Published beside the Score, not inside it.
Autobid 0.0% · at-large 0.0%
No remaining games vs the Field or Bubble on the cached slate.
Games that decide us
Helmet Head
Boise State sits at 42.5 on this week's board (6–1).
Ledger
Week 7 · AP_DIVERGENCE
In the Field at seed 10; AP #23
Week 8 · AP_DIVERGENCE
In the Field at seed 8; AP #20
Week 8 · G5_IN_FIELD
Holding the Group of Five autobid at seed 8
Storyline log
- UNRANKED_PRESEASON · auto · Unranked in the AP preseason poll and now top 25 by playoff probability.